The Octant

Trump’s Promise: No Taxes on Social Security—A Game-Changer for Retirees

President Donald Trump has been busy making significant policy moves during his first days in office. But one of his latest proposals—eliminating taxes on Social Security benefits—has sparked widespread discussion.

Why Social Security Benefits Are Crucial

Social Security benefits are a lifeline for millions of Americans. By the end of 2024, about 53 million retirees—roughly 16% of the population—were receiving these monthly payments. These benefits provide financial stability for many seniors, making any changes to the system a matter of great concern.

Trump’s Plan: No Taxes on Social Security Income

One of Trump’s key promises is to eliminate federal taxes on Social Security benefits. On July 31, he took to Truth Social to emphasize his stance:

“SENIORS SHOULD NOT PAY TAX ON SOCIAL SECURITY!”

Currently, about 40% of people receiving Social Security benefits pay federal income taxes on their retirement, spousal, or disability benefits. Supplemental Security Income (SSI), however, is not taxed.

Here’s how the system works now:

  • Beneficiaries with incomes between $25,000 and $34,000 per year pay taxes on up to 50% of their benefits.
  • Those earning above $34,000 can be taxed on as much as 85% of their benefits.

Trump’s proposal aims to eliminate these taxes, potentially increasing the after-tax income for many retirees.

Potential Impacts on Retirees and the Social Security System

The Tax Foundation estimates that removing taxes on Social Security benefits could boost after-tax income for higher-earning retirees by an average of 0.6%. For those earning above the tax thresholds, this increase could be as high as 1.1%.

However, retirees with lower incomes—who already don’t pay taxes on their benefits—wouldn’t see much change.

While this policy could provide financial relief to some seniors, it raises concerns about the future of the Social Security Administration (SSA). The taxes currently collected on benefits are used to fund Social Security and Medicare. If this revenue stream is cut, it could worsen the financial health of these programs.

A Looming Crisis for Social Security

The SSA’s 2023 Trustees Report revealed a concerning outlook: the trust funds that support Social Security are projected to run out of money by 2035. If this happens, retirees would only receive 83% of their full benefits.

Experts warn that Trump’s proposal to eliminate taxes on benefits could accelerate this crisis. According to the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, such a move could advance the insolvency date by over a year. The Tax Foundation has called the plan “fiscally irresponsible,” suggesting it might deplete funds by 2033—two years earlier than expected.

What Changed Under Biden?

Under former President Joe Biden, some notable changes were made to Social Security policies. The biggest was the repeal of the Windfall Elimination Provision (WEP) and Government Pension Offset (GPO):

  1. WEP: This rule reduced benefits for people with pensions from public sector jobs that didn’t require Social Security contributions. Around 2 million retirees were affected.
  2. GPO: This offset reduced spousal or survivor benefits for retirees in government jobs where Social Security taxes weren’t paid. About 800,000 retirees were impacted.

The repeal of these provisions helped millions of retirees access full benefits.

Experts Weigh In

Opinions on Trump’s proposal are divided.

  • Neal Shah, CEO of CareYaya, believes removing taxes could improve retirees’ quality of life by increasing their income and access to essential care.
  • Brandy Burch, CEO of benefitbay, warns that without alternative funding strategies, the proposal could lead to further reforms like reducing benefits, raising the retirement age, or tightening eligibility requirements.

What Happens Next?

Though Trump has signed several executive orders since his inauguration, he has not provided clear details on how or when his Social Security tax changes will be implemented. For now, retirees and policymakers alike are waiting to see what steps will be taken next.

Disclaimer – Our team has carefully fact-checked this article to make sure it’s accurate and free from any misinformation. We’re dedicated to keeping our content honest and reliable for our readers.

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